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NFL Picks: Betting on Talented First Year Starting QBs The Newest Angle For Bettors
One of the most frequent questions I get is, “What have been the biggest changes you have seen in 26 years of handicapping?” There is no question, one of the most positive angles to evolve in very recent years in NFL betting is spotting quality young (not always rookie) quarterbacks and riding them while they are undervalued. Luckily for sportsbooks such as William Hill bookmakers most gamblers are still extremely hesitant to exploit this angle. Frankly that’s great news for us sharps as it keeps the point spread beneficial for us. Thanks to the growing popularity in the south of seven-on-seven high school football in which teams throw on nearly every down, quarterbacks are entering college more prepared than ever before. Likewise, college teams are snapping the ball often 80-90 or more times a game, passing 40-50. Often these numbers are double of what they were 10-15 years ago. Hence quarterbacks are coming into the NFL much more refined than they were when m...
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